Presidential hopeful Dr. Ben Carson continues to legitimize his claim to frontrunner status, going neck and neck with billionaire Donald Trump in the polls. In recent polls Carson has pulled ahead in Oklahoma, Texas and Wisconsin, in addition to an existing and substantial lead in North Carolina.
Trump has pulled ahead in Iowa by a couple of percentage points according to a CNN/ORC poll and Fox has Trump leading by about 3 points nationally. Several polls have Trump ahead in New Hampshire as well. Iowa and New Hampshire are the first two states on the primary schedule and are considered hugely important for frontrunner momentum and also as bellwether elections for candidates who may be forced to drop out.
Senator Marco Rubio continues to pull third place, followed by Senator Ted Cruz and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush.
Author’s note: I’m disappointed in Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina, both of whom had good debates. Their campaigns have let them down, neither seem to have the organization to gather momentum. In my opinion, their windows of opportunity have passed.
Ohio Governor John Kasich may still have some game left, though. He has increased his share by 3 points over the past month to a 10 point share in New Hampshire, a good showing there could substantially increase his donor base.