In our recent scorecard on the Republican primary debates, we commented how Rand Paul fared badly:
“Rand Paul -8 – I respect Senator Paul greatly, he is intelligent, determined and has good ideas, but he challenged Trump and got shmushed. Every time. He looked uncomposed and un-Presidential, like he was desperate to prove himself. I’m sorry to say this but I think his presidential aspirations are done. I believe he will continue to poll at the same level, because of his father’s legacy, but no higher.”
Looks like our prediction is being supported by subsequent polls. According to Public Policy Polling which recently polled North Carolina (a poll cited as a bellwether by many commentators):
“The news is worse for Paul- he has seen a precipitous decline in his popularity. A month ago his favorability in the state was 49/22. Now it’s 31/47- it’s clear from three polls we’ve done now since the debate that it killed Paul’s image. He’s dropped from 7% to 3% in the horse race.”
We still do not believe Senator Paul will drop out, however, he appears to be hedging his bet. Paul just got the green light from the Kentucky GOP to run for both U.S. President and for re-election to his Kentucky Senate seat. This is allowed by changing from a primary to a caucus system in the Kentucky GOP.
In a statement, Senator Paul said “The people of Kentucky deserve a voice as the GOP chooses their next nominee, and holding a caucus will ensure that Kentucky is relevant and participates early in the process. I am also grateful for the Republican Party’s trust in me, allowing me to run for re-election to the U.S. Senate and seek the nomination for the presidency of the United States.”